They are now predicting up to 16 named storms, up to nine hurricanes and up to five major hurricanes. At the start of the hurricane season, the forecast was up to 17 named storms, up to 10 becoming hurricanes, and three to five being major hurricanes of Category III or higher.

This revision follows closely the prediction of a Colorado State University researcher and WSI Corp., a private forecaster, which both revised their initial prediction down to slightly less than NOAA's.

Even with the reductions, this is still scheduled to be a slightly above normal hurricane season, but the early part of the season has been mild.

Since 1995, there has been increased activity in summer storms in the Atlantic due to warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in key areas of the Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, and the El Niño/La Niña cycle, according to Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center based in Camp Springs, Md.
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